20 in 2: A Disturbing Trend

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April 21, 2007


A Disturbing Trend...

On the site Decathlon2000.ee, every statistic you can imagine for men's decathlon is archived.  (No women's multi-events, however - if anyone knows where they keep similar info, please e-mail me or use the forum.)  For each year after 1984, the complete records, including event results, of anyone scoring over 6800 points exists.  I noticed the list for 1985 was fairly long; 547.  However, only 372 from 2006!  Hoping this was not an indication of something serious, I plotted out the last 22 years of decathletes that scored over 6800 points, and discovered a very disturbing trend - a sharp decline in the number of athletes, plotted in the following chart:

 

 

This trend would be sad, but not dire for the sport, particularly if the quantity of those scoring over 7500 or even 8000 was going up (lower quantity of total athletes, but higher quality).  The trendline for the numbers of athletes scoring over 6800, 7500 and 8000 all point downwards, however.  Worse, they all converge at zero at almost the same exact time.  Statistical trends like this do not lie - unless there is a reversal, the decathlon will fade away, and fast.  The following chart shows that if the trend continues, in 60 years the clock will stop for the last decathlete:

 

 

So what's happening?  It's most likely a combination of many things, such as no sponsors, lack of high school and college support, MTV/X-Games/ADD.  Worse, these causes self-perpetuate, because less multi-event athletes today mean less coaches, administrators, supporters, fans, sponsors tomorrow.  Phil McMullen was tenth in the world in 2004 with an outrageous 8285 score, but was 4th in the US trials and missed the Olympics by a few points.  He "barely scrape[d] by."  How do you recruit athletes into a sport with this record?  Compounding matters, the physical ability of decathletes is staggering - but why stay in a sport where you're a world-class athlete but can't feed yourself, when the MLB/NFL/BOWLING/ANY SPORT HERE awaits with $300,000 league minimums?  Because you're totally insane (God, I love this sport!)

The Decathlon is never going to take over the major professional sports (or even bowling) in popularity, talent draw, or sponsorship.  But it's dying, and something needs to be done.  Never one to just state a problem and moan about it, I've listed some possible culprits, and some possible (but as always, difficult) solutions:

ISSUE

SOLUTION

1. HIGH RISK, LITTLE REWARD: Colleges don't want to risk scholarships and time on athletes that compete in multiple events but score the same as an athlete in one event.
  • MORE POINTS: Increase the number of points in national meets for multi-event athletes.  (They deserve it.)
  • NEW SPORT: Break multi-events out into their own sport (as in indoor and outdoor track) and give out national titles (top two athletes from each school score).  This can have limited (decathlon/heptathlon only) or vast implications, including non-standard (see "Junior Varsity Multi", below), and new multi-events.  (Icosathlon, anyone? Weight Pentathlon?  Or maybe a distance-only multi?)
  • MORE TIME: Increase the amount of time between multi-event championships and individual event championships so that athletes can realistically do both.
2. FUNDING.  Sponsors have disappeared from multi-events. FUNDING.  It's a difficult issue to fix, but one sponsor (remember Visa, or Reebok?) could single-handedly revitalize the sport.  It's a wide-open market, inexpensive to corner, and with a lot of sexy, impressive heroes waiting to be on the cover of whatever pays entry fees and replaces broken poles.  Nike could do an international campaign in a day, and their mission, branding and image falls in line with the image of the multi-athlete.  Nike competitors, take note as well.
3. BOTTOM-UP SUPPORT: There is little or no high school multi-event opportunities (at least in the USA), and few youth, high school and college coaches recognize multi-event talent and support athletes in multi-events. ADD HIGH SCHOOL MULTI TO STATE, REGIONAL MEETS.  A 5, 6, or 8-event (Pole Vault and Javelin make school administrators, lawyers and insurance underwriters cringe) that scores at state and regional meets is desperately needed.  (Or even just the day-1 events in a dec or hep would work -- see "Junior Varsity Multi", below).  This would force programs to recognize and advance multi-event talent, especially if it'll be scoring them easy points in the infancy of the event.   This would then allow colleges to recognize talent and recruit better.
4. THE "NO HEIGHT" KILLER.  A no-height or no mark destroys your chances of a good score.  It's not an individual event, where there's 2 meets a week at which you can get that qualifier, there's two meets a year, and a no-mark/no-height is disastrous, as Dan O'Brien (or any decathlete, for that matter) can vouch for. MORE ATTEMPTS: Up to three additional attempts for those who have no mark after three attempts in field events.  (As soon as you get any mark, you're back to normal rules.)  This would not be abused by the multi-event athlete who needs to conserve energy.  In fact, it might speed up competitions in the high jump and pole vault, as the athlete now knows it's no longer dangerous to open up at a higher height.  There could be LESS total attempts and height changes through an elite competition, and higher quality marks as the "safety throw/jump" is less necessary.
5. TRAINING, LIFE SCHEDULE.  Training for these events eats away at social, academic and employment opportunities.  From personal experience - I was recruited at UCD for the decathlon, and was an engineering major.  I could not do both, and stayed with the 400 meters and engineering.  This situation is not unique to me. "JUNIOR VARSITY MULTI"  Make a 6, 8, and 10-event multi for men, (5, 7 for women) official.  Younger and/or less experienced athletes could do the 6-event (maybe the 100, long, shot, 400, high hurdles, discus, or just the day 1 events) simultaneous with the 10-event.  They can do this already by simply starting each running event, but now the events would score points at regional and national college competitions, (with higher point preferential to the 10 event.)  Athletes could thus transition into the decathlon with initially less specific (and thus time-intensive) training, and be ready to compete faster.
6. LACK OF MASTER'S MULTI-EVENT COMPETITIONS.  Masters athletes have the resources, time and connections within the sport, and these are not being exploited, nor are there enough master's multi competitions.
(N/A). FEAR.  Athletes themselves don't want to risk injury doing multiple events, and pick their best event(s) to focus on. NATURAL SELECTION.  This type of rationality is unavoidable and probably good for the sport.  We don't need sane, rational, conservative athletes scared of a little pain.  Checking-youself-out-of-the-hospital-to-finish-the-vault Monsters welcome.
   

There are more, I am sure.  And many of these may not be realistic (or even wise) but it's starting things down the right path.  No sport should be quagmired too deeply in tradition to not welcome change and advancements.  Maybe the decathlon and heptathlon are just a few multi-million dollar sponsors away from a rebirth, maybe this is just a brief glitch in an otherwise healthy sport, and maybe a serious re-tooling of the multi-events is in order.  Whatever is going on, let's spread the word; e-mail or use the forum , get on the master's forums, start dialogues with high school and college administrators and coaches, and let's do something about this. 

 

 

 

External Links:

iaaf.org - International Association of Athletics Federations

IAUM - the governing body for the Icosathlon

Decathlon2000.ee

Multi-Event Points Calculator

Sportnet.com- free online TV coverage for elite level meets

All-Time Icosathlon World Lists, Master's, Women's & Open. (individual & event performances)

USATF - United States Track & Field

DecathlonUSA - results, newsletters, history, records

Stabhochsprung - the most comprehensive video history of vaulting

VS Athletics - track and field supplies

Kip Janvrin's Post-WR Icosathlon Interview

Masters Track.com: Masters Track & Field

Have a link you want posted here or that should be posted here?  email Dimitry

20 in 2: The Icosathlon, (also referred to as the Double Decathlon) is a track and field competition in which the athlete must complete all twenty track and field events over two days (which includes completing a standard decathlon in addition to the ten other events,) scoring points using IAAF scoring formulas and new formulas for the 10 additional events.  It is a grueling test of an athlete's endurance, specific technical skill, explosive strength, jumping and running ability.   After finishing seventh in the 2005 World Championship, I began to train for the 2006 Worlds.  This is the blog of my journey, dedicated to promoting the Multi Events including the Icosathlon, as well as promoting a friendly, healthy track and field community...

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20 in 2 © 2005, 2006, 2007 Dimitry Yakoushkin